Navy
W-L: (20- 2) PR = 93.0270Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 12-10 214 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 18- 5 218 A Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 15-10 221 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 14- 6 228 H Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 14-11 307 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 19- 8 310 H Jacksonville Atlantic Su (13- 6, 89.0) 13-10 314 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 17- 6 317 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 11-10 321 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 18- 3 325 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 11- 6 328 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 14-19 404 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 16- 5 411 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 14- 8 415 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 24- 1 418 A Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 23- 7 422 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 18- 5 430 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 18- 8 502 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 17-11 508 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 17-16 510 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 11-10 514 A Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 10-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Virginia 12-10 2 1 0.90
214 H Villanova 18- 5 13 8 ++ 5.08
218 A Delaware 15-10 5 4 0.86
221 A High Point 14- 6 8 10 -1.74
228 H Florida 14-11 3 1 + 2.02
307 A South Florida 19- 8 11 3 +++ 8.04
310 H Jacksonville 13-10 3 5 - -2.36
314 H Bucknell 17- 6 11 10 0.63
317 H Arizona State 11-10 1 7 --- -6.45
321 A Holy Cross 18- 3 15 8 ++ 5.95
325 H Lehigh 11- 6 5 14 --- -9.00
328 A Loyola (MD) 14-19 -5 2 --- -7.13
404 H Boston University 16- 5 11 10 1.15
411 H Army 14- 8 6 3 + 3.06
415 A Lafayette 24- 1 23 13 1.44
418 A Colgate 23- 7 16 10 + 3.68
422 H American 18- 5 13 16 -1.00
430 H Bucknell 18- 8 10 10 -0.37
502 H Army 17-11 6 3 + 3.06
508 H Massachusetts 17-16 1 5 - -3.92
510 H Syracuse 11-10 1 1 -0.31
514 A Maryland 10-14 -4 -2 - -2.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Arizona State 11-10 1 7 --- -6.45 325 H Lehigh 11- 6 5 14 --- -9.00 328 A Loyola (MD) 14-19 -5 2 --- -7.13 310 H Jacksonville 13-10 3 5 - -2.36 508 H Massachusetts 17-16 1 5 - -3.92 514 A Maryland 10-14 -4 -2 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A South Florida 19- 8 11 3 +++ 8.04 214 H Villanova 18- 5 13 8 ++ 5.08 321 A Holy Cross 18- 3 15 8 ++ 5.95 228 H Florida 14-11 3 1 + 2.02 411 H Army 14- 8 6 3 + 3.06 418 A Colgate 23- 7 16 10 + 3.68 502 H Army 17-11 6 3 + 3.06 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 12-10 -9.34 30.82 1.37 0.79 50.70
3 H Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 18- 5 -13.43 26.74 -1.37 0.79 39.96
3 A Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 15-10 -12.38 27.78 1.37 0.79 45.91
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 14- 6 -17.98 22.19 1.37 0.79 37.09
3 H Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 14-11 -6.48 33.69 -1.37 0.79 50.90
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 19- 8 -11.20 28.97 1.37 0.79 47.78
3 H Jacksonville (13- 6, 89.0) 13-10 -10.86 29.30 -1.37 0.79 43.99
3 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 17- 6 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 0.79 36.10
3 H Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 11-10 -12.95 27.22 -1.37 0.79 40.71
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 18- 3 -16.29 23.88 1.37 0.79 39.76
3 H Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 11- 6 -19.54 20.63 -1.37 0.79 30.34
3 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 14-19 -10.37 29.80 1.37 0.79 -3.54
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 16- 5 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 0.79 36.92
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 14- 8 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 0.79 47.80
3 A Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 24- 1 -20.80 19.36 1.37 0.79 32.65
3 A Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 23- 7 -18.56 21.61 1.37 0.79 36.19
3 H American ( 4-12, 78.8) 18- 5 -21.06 19.11 -1.37 0.79 27.93
3 H Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 18- 8 -15.88 24.29 -1.37 0.79 36.10
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 17-11 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 0.79 47.80
3 H Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 17-16 -10.43 29.74 -1.37 0.79 44.68
3 H Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 11-10 -6.81 33.36 -1.37 0.79 50.38
3 A Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 10-14 -6.24 33.92 1.37 0.79 -1.92
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818.22
|
winning pts = 823.6840 losing points = -5.4631
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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