Navy
W-L: (16- 1) PR = 93.4523Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.8) 12-10 214 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.6) 18- 5 218 A Delaware Atlantic Sun (12- 4, 88.1) 15-10 221 A High Point Big South ( 7- 9, 82.0) 14- 6 228 H Florida Big 12 (14- 2, 94.1) 14-11 307 A South Florida AAC (11- 4, 89.3) 19- 8 310 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (11- 5, 88.4) 13-10 314 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 6, 84.2) 17- 6 317 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8- 9, 87.0) 11-10 321 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.7) 18- 3 325 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.6) 11- 6 328 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 6, 89.6) 14-19 404 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.7) 16- 5 411 H Army Patriot (13- 3, 91.7) 14- 8 415 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.3) 24- 1 418 A Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.6) 23- 7 422 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 79.0) 18- 5 430 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 6, 84.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Virginia 12-10 2 2 0.42
214 H Villanova 18- 5 13 8 ++ 5.02
218 A Delaware 15-10 5 4 0.79
221 A High Point 14- 6 8 10 - -2.39
228 H Florida 14-11 3 0 + 2.59
307 A South Florida 19- 8 11 3 +++ 7.99
310 H Jacksonville 13-10 3 6 - -3.12
314 H Bucknell 17- 6 11 10 0.60
317 H Arizona State 11-10 1 8 --- -6.52
321 A Holy Cross 18- 3 15 9 ++ 5.36
325 H Lehigh 11- 6 5 14 --- -8.98
328 A Loyola (MD) 14-19 -5 3 --- -7.74
404 H Boston University 16- 5 11 10 1.19
411 H Army 14- 8 6 3 + 3.18
415 A Lafayette 24- 1 23 13 0.94
418 A Colgate 23- 7 16 11 + 3.21
422 H American 18- 5 13 16 -1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Arizona State 11-10 1 8 --- -6.52 325 H Lehigh 11- 6 5 14 --- -8.98 328 A Loyola (MD) 14-19 -5 3 --- -7.74 221 A High Point 14- 6 8 10 - -2.39 310 H Jacksonville 13-10 3 6 - -3.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A South Florida 19- 8 11 3 +++ 7.99 214 H Villanova 18- 5 13 8 ++ 5.02 321 A Holy Cross 18- 3 15 9 ++ 5.36 228 H Florida 14-11 3 0 + 2.59 411 H Army 14- 8 6 3 + 3.18 418 A Colgate 23- 7 16 11 + 3.21 |
Navy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Albany | Navy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Navy | |
| American | Navy | Navy | ||
| Arizona State | Navy | Navy | ||
| Army | Navy | Navy | ||
| Austin Peay | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Binghamton | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Boston College | Navy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Boston University | Navy | Navy | ||
| Brown | Navy | Navy 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Bryant | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Bucknell | Navy | Navy | ||
| Butler | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| California | Navy | Navy | ||
| Campbell | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Canisius | Navy | Navy | ||
| Central Connecticut | Navy | Navy | ||
| Central Michigan | Navy | Navy | ||
| Cincinnati | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Clemson | |
| Coastal Carolina | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Colgate | Navy | Navy | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Colorado | |
| Columbia | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Connecticut | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Cornell | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Dartmouth | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Davidson | Navy | Navy | ||
| Delaware | Navy | Navy | ||
| Delaware State | Navy | Navy | ||
| Denver | Navy | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Navy | |
| Detroit Mercy | Navy | Navy | ||
| Drexel | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Duke | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Duquesne | Navy | Navy | ||
| East Carolina | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Eastern Michigan | Navy | Navy | ||
| Elon | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Fairfield | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Navy | Navy | ||
| Florida | Navy | Navy | ||
| Florida State | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Furman | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Gardner Webb | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| George Mason | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| George Washington | Navy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Navy | |
| Georgetown | Navy | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Navy | |
| Harvard | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| High Point | Navy | Navy | ||
| Hofstra | Navy | Navy | ||
| Holy Cross | Navy | Navy | ||
| Howard (DC) | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Iona | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Jacksonville | Navy | Navy | ||
| James Madison | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Johns Hopkins | |
| Kennesaw State | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Kent State | Navy | Navy | ||
| La Salle | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lafayette | Navy | Navy | ||
| Le Moyne | Navy | Navy | ||
| Lehigh | Navy | Navy | ||
| Liberty | Navy | Navy 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Lindenwood | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| LIU | Navy | Navy | ||
| Longwood | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Louisville | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Marist | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marquette | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Maryland | |
| Massachusetts | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Navy | Navy | ||
| Mercer | Navy | Navy 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Mercyhurst | Navy | Navy | ||
| Merrimack | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Michigan | |
| Monmouth (NJ) | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Mount St Marys | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| New Hampshire | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| New Haven | Navy | Navy | ||
| Niagara | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Navy | Navy | ||
| Old Dominion | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Oregon | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Penn | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Navy | |
| Penn State | Navy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Navy | |
| Pittsburgh | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Presbyterian | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Princeton | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Navy | |
| Queens | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Quinnipiac | Navy | Navy | ||
| Radford | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Rhode Island | Navy | Navy | ||
| Richmond | Navy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Navy | |
| Rider | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Robert Morris | Navy | Navy | ||
| Rutgers | Navy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Navy | |
| Sacred Heart | Navy | Navy | ||
| San Diego State | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Siena | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| South Florida | Navy | Navy | ||
| Southern California | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| St Bonaventure | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Stanford | |
| Stetson | Navy | Navy 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Stonehill | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Navy | |
| Temple | Navy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Navy | |
| Towson | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Navy | |
| UC Davis | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| UMBC | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Vanderbilt | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| VCU | Navy | Navy | ||
| Vermont | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Villanova | Navy | Navy | ||
| Virginia | Navy | Navy | ||
| Virginia Tech | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Wagner | Navy | Navy | ||
| William & Mary | Navy | Navy | ||
| Winthrop | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Wofford | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Xavier | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Yale | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Youngstown State | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy |
PowerWise = 121
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.23
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.8) 12-10 -9.13 30.87 1.10 0.95 61.04
1 H Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.6) 18- 5 -13.32 26.68 -1.10 0.95 48.83
1 A Delaware (12- 4, 88.1) 15-10 -11.76 28.24 1.10 0.95 56.02
1 A High Point ( 7- 9, 82.0) 14- 6 -17.94 22.06 1.10 0.95 44.23
1 H Florida (14- 2, 94.1) 14-11 -5.76 34.25 -1.10 0.95 63.27
1 A South Florida (11- 4, 89.3) 19- 8 -10.56 29.44 1.10 0.95 58.31
1 H Jacksonville (11- 5, 88.4) 13-10 -11.47 28.54 -1.10 0.95 52.37
1 H Bucknell (10- 6, 84.2) 17- 6 -15.74 24.27 -1.10 0.95 44.21
1 H Arizona State ( 8- 9, 87.0) 11-10 -12.86 27.15 -1.10 0.95 49.71
1 A Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.7) 18- 3 -16.19 23.82 1.10 0.95 47.57
1 H Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.6) 11- 6 -19.33 20.68 -1.10 0.95 37.37
1 A Loyola (MD) (12- 6, 89.6) 14-19 -10.29 29.72 1.10 0.95 -4.39
1 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.7) 16- 5 -15.16 24.85 -1.10 0.95 45.33
1 H Army (13- 3, 91.7) 14- 8 -8.16 31.84 -1.10 0.95 58.68
1 A Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.3) 24- 1 -20.61 19.39 1.10 0.95 39.13
1 A Colgate ( 5-10, 81.6) 23- 7 -18.34 21.67 1.10 0.95 43.47
1 H American ( 4-12, 79.0) 18- 5 -20.86 19.15 -1.10 0.95 34.44
------
779.62
|
winning pts = 784.0039 losing points = -4.3854
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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